Stock tips update – 3rd December 2010

Saturday, December 4th, 2010

In the last few weeks equity markets have consolidated and even pulled back a little following the sharp gains of September and October, as concerns over sovereign debt in Europe, coupled with a resurgence in the US dollar has seen investor confidence wain as money flows reverted to safer havens. However, in the last few days, with the ECB hinting at unlimited support for European bonds, risk on appetite has returned once more, with the Dow and the FTSE making strong gains last week.  So let’s take a look at our portfolio of stocks that we selected in September and see how we are doing in the current market.

El Paso (EP) - BUY at 13.11 – El Paso closed on Friday at $13.86, and continues to hold above all four moving averages. The trend for the stock still remains firmly bullish and with all four moving averages continuing to point higher, then this is a good long term hold.

Ameren Corp (AEE) - BUY at 29.18 - still waiting to break above the $30 price level, having closed on Friday at $29.23. However, we are still holding above all four moving averages and the stock therefore remains a hold for the time being.

Helmerich & Payne (HP) - BUY at $42.00 - closed on Friday at $48.29 and is one of our star performers having cleared our initial target of $46.60 and now looks set to breach the $50 price level in due course. Both the 9 and 14 day moving averages are providing strong support so continue to hold this stock for the longer term and move up your stop loss accordingly.

General Electric ( GE ) - BUY at 16.69 – GE closed on Friday at $16.78 – not a great performance but with the stock now breaking back above all four moving averages once again, this is one to hold for the longer term. Never going to set the world on fire, but a blue chip stock that is relatively undervalued at the moment, and as we move out of recession into early expansion this is one to hold for the long term.

Alcoa (AA) - BUY at 11.75 – strong performance again last week with the stock closing on Friday at $14.23, so another of our star performers. My target remains 14.60 for the stock as we continue to trade above all four moving averages and the longer term outlook for the stock remains very positive so continue to hold.

MEMC Electronic (WFR) - BUY at 12.34 – the stock has pulled back in the last few weeks and closed on Friday at $11.89, and despite the slightly bearish picture at present the longer term outlook remains bullish. My suggestion is to review this one weekly and if the stock continues to move lower then this could be a sell in due course.

Harley Davidson (HOG) - BUY at 29.42 – another of our star performers having closed on Friday at $33.25. The technical picture remains firmly bullish for the stock, and my target for this one is around the $36 region at which point we should consider closing out and taking our profits, but for the time being continue to hold.

Metropcs Communications (PCS) - BUY at 10.93 – continues to perform well, closing on Friday at  $12.36 continuing to hold above all four moving averages. My target remains 13.50 for the stock.

Citigroup (C) - BUY at 4.05 – continues to look bullish as we hold above the 14 day moving average, closing on Friday at $4.45. My target remains 5.10 for this stock and despite the sideways consolidation I am waiting for a breakout in due course, which should see this one gather momentum and break above the $5 price area in due course.


Update on our portfolio of stock trading tips

Sunday, November 14th, 2010

In the last two weeks we have kept our portfolio of stocks intact, and although we have added many to our watch list, none of these have triggered a buy or sell signal. The broader equities pulled back last week with Irish debt issues concerning European markets, whilst this spilled over into the US markets, coupled with a resurgence in the US dollar which managed to struggle higher last week despite the FED implementing a further round of quantitative easing.  In the longer term of course we can expect to see further dollar weakness in due course, with equities benefiting as a result, reinstating the longer term bullish momentum once again.

So how have our stock selections performed to date – let’s take a look at our portfolio of stock trading tips and recommendations.

El Paso (EP) - BUY at 13.11 – continues to hold above all four moving averages and closed on Friday at $13.46. Good support from the 9 day moving average so the outlook remains positive for this stock as a hold.

Ameren Corp (AEE) - BUY at 29.18 – reached a high last week of $29.89, before closing on Friday at $29.29, and holding just above the 14 day moving average on the daily chart. With the platform of support below, the longer term outlook remains positive for the stock so this remains a hold at the moment.

Helmerich & Payne (HP) - BUY at $42.00 – continues to hold above all four moving averages and remains bullish with the 9 and 14 day moving averages crossing the 200 day MA. The stock closed at $45.69 on Friday so remains a strong hold with an initial target of 46.40 for the stock.

General Electric ( GE ) - BUY at 16.69 – the stock suffered a couple of weeks ago with poor quarter results which saw the price fall sharply. However, despite this the close on Friday was 16.25, but below all four moving averages which is a worrying signal. My target remains 18.62 for the stock.

Alcoa (AA) - BUY at 11.75 – strong performance again last week with the stock closing on Friday at $13.49. My target remains 14.60 for the stock as we continue to trade above all four moving averages.

MEMC Electronic (WFR) - BUY at 12.34 – continues to climb higher in a steady fashion, closing on Friday at $13.00, and still above all four moving averages despite the pull back for equities on the broader index last week. A break and hold above the $13.75 area will confirm the longer term move higher for the stock.

Harley Davidson (HOG) - BUY at 29.42 – one of my favourite stocks and still performing well, closing on Friday at $31.70. Remains a hold

Metropcs Communications (PCS) - BUY at 10.93 – continues to perform well, closing on Friday at  $12.13 firmly holding above all four moving averages. My target remains 13.50 for the stock.

Citigroup (C) - BUY at 4.05 – continues to look bullish as we hold above the 14 day moving average, closing on Friday at $4.29. My target remains 5.10 for this stock.


Stock trading tips – Tyler Technologies TYL

Sunday, October 24th, 2010
stock trading tips

Daily stock trading chart - TYL stock trading tip

Tyler Technologies, ticker TYL, which trades on the New York Stock Exchange ended on Friday with a relatively wide spread up candle, closing the trading session at $21.89, up 0.62 on the day or 2.91%, and as such has given us a clear buying signal as the upwards trend develops nicely. The company provides integrated court case management software and has recently won a contract with Walker and Medina counties in Texas for their online software – Tyler’s Odyssey.

The key buying signal for this stock came earlier in the month, with a narrow spread down candle with high volume, and therefore suggesting this is buying by the market makers, in preparation for a move higher. Since then, we have seen the stock trend up steadily, fully supported by both the 9 and 14 day moving averages below, with the 40 day having crossed firmly above the 200 day moving average to add further weight. In addition Friday’s close has now cleared the potential resistance at the 21.60 level of early January 2010, and is therefore signalling a buy and hold as we break out into a five year high. I originally bought this one at $16.64 in July, and since then has returned around 30%, and following the move higher on Friday, will be holding this for the longer term, with an initial target around the $25 region, with my stop loss now moved up to just below the $20 per stock level.


Stock trading tips – updates 18th October 2010

Monday, October 18th, 2010

Two new stocks added to our portfolio this week, namely El Paso (EP), a buy at 13.11 and Ameren Corp (AEE) which was also a buy at 29.18. So let’s check progress on these stocks and also update the others which have been doing well this week

El Paso (EP) – BUY at 13.11 – continues to hold above all four moving averages, and closed this evening with a wide spread up candle at 13.35, so a nice gain for the stock to date in the first few days. Good support from the 9 day moving average so the outlook remains positive for this stock as a hold.

Ameren Corp (AEE) – BUY at 29.18 – having slid lower last week, the stock closed this evening at 29.21, and breaking back above all four moving averages once again. Volume on Friday was good suggesting that we should see the stock move higher in due course so continue to hold.

Helmerich & Payne (HP) – BUY at 42.00 – continues to hold above all four moving averages and remains bullish with the 9 and 14 day moving averages crossing the 200 day MA. The stock closed at 43.76 this evening so remains a strong hold with a target of 46.40 for the stock.

M & T Bank ( MTB) - SELL at 78.91 – continues to fall nicely closing this evening at 76.79. Despite this evening’s close higher, remains bearish with 9 day MA crossing thee 200 day MA. My target remains 70.09 for the stock

General Electric ( GE ) - BUY at 16.69 – the stock suffered last week with poor quarter results which saw the price fall sharply on Thursday and Friday. However, despite this the close of tonight was 16.25, and still above the 14 day moving average, down from the high of last week at 17.50. My target remains 18.62 for the stock as strong buying volume appears to have come into the market to support the fall – continue to hold.

Alcoa (AA) - BUY at 11.75 – strong performance again last week with the stock closing this evening at 13.14. My target remains 14.60 for the stock as we continue to trade above all four moving averages.

MEMC Electronic (WFR) – BUY at 12.34 – another of the strong performers last week, but closed below the 9 day moving average this evening, closing at 13.00. My target remains 15.25 for the stock.

Harley Davidson (HOG) – BUY at 29.42 – one of my favourite stocks and which performed well for us last week and closing this evening at 32.50. Strongly bullish. My target remains 34.30 for the stock.

Metropcs Communications (PCS) - BUY at 10.93 – sharp sell off last week, but has recovered well on Friday and Monday to trade at 10.84 this evening, and just holding above all four moving averages once again. My target remains 13.50 for the stock.

Citigroup (C) - BUY at 4.05 – strong bounce higher today for the stock which recovered from last weeks fall to trade sharply higher today and close at 4.17, back above all four moving averages once again. My target remains 5.10 for this stock, and a break here could open the way for a sustained move higher in due course.


Stock trading tips – El Paso EP trending higher

Sunday, October 10th, 2010
El Paso daily stock trading chart

El Paso (EP) - daily candle chart 8th October 2010

El Paso Corp (EP) closed the week with a strong buying signal as it finally broke above potential resistance on Friday, closing at 13.11 and ending with a wide spread up candle above the 12.85 region. This stock has gained steadily during the week, and following Monday’s test to the down side of the 40 day moving average on the daily chart, duly recovered on Tuesday to break and hold above both the 9 and 14 day moving averages, which are now providing excellent support to the longer term upwards trend. A check on the longer term charts also confirms this bullish picture with the stock breaking above the 40 month moving average on the monthly chart. My target for the stock is the resistance area which begins at the $16 price level.

The volume picture supports this view with Friday’s wide spread candle well supported with solid volume at 10.8M, which has increased nicely over the week as we move higher, always a good signal. As such this confirms our analysis that the move higher is genuine and likely to continue, and therefore the stock represents a good long term buy and hold with an initial target at $16.00.